Published and updated October 2, 2026 | Developing story
The war in Ukraine is in its fifth year with no ceasefire. This page brings the Russia-Ukraine war latest news today together with the questions readers ask most: who supports each side, how many people have been killed, what the war has cost both economies, what Trump, China and the EU are saying, and what Kyiv and Moscow each want.
Key points (as of October 2, 2026):
- Russia attacked overnight with 188 drones and various missiles, and used a drone designed to cut power pylons for the first time, per Ukrainian officials.
- Putin raised Russia’s authorized armed forces to 2,441,630, and Zelensky says Russia has begun a new mobilization. Putin has denied needing one.
- US-led peace efforts have not produced a ceasefire. The main sticking point is Russia’s demand that Ukraine leave the rest of Donbas.
- CSIS estimates total military casualties on both sides now exceed 2 million. No figure is independently verified.
In this article
- Latest news
- Breaking news and CNN
- Who is winning?
- Who supports Ukraine
- Who supports Russia
- Casualties
- Ukrainian troops left
- Damage to Ukraine
- Russia’s economy
- What people think
- Trump, China, EU
- Foreigners
- What each side wants
- How long will it last?
- FAQs
What Is the Latest News on Ukraine?
- Overnight attack: Ukraine’s air force said Russia launched 188 drones and various missiles overnight. A Zelensky adviser said a Russian drone armed to cut power pylons was used for the first time, with outages in three regions (Kyiv Independent).
- Russian army expansion: Putin signed a decree on September 28 raising authorized strength to 2,441,630, including 1,550,500 active service members, the fourth increase this year. Zelensky said Russia has effectively begun a fresh mobilization and that more than 8,000 North Korean troops are in Russia (CNBC). Reuters reported Russia plans record 2027 defense spending of 17.1 trillion rubles.
- Europe: German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said on October 1 that Europe’s security is at stake in Ukraine. Russia’s Foreign Ministry said European factories that make arms for Ukraine are potential military targets (Kyiv Post).
- Diplomacy: Trump and Zelensky met at the UN on September 22. Zelensky said he is ready for an energy ceasefire and urged a three-way meeting with Putin. He declined Trump’s suggestion to travel to Moscow.
What Are the Latest Breaking News on Ukraine, According to CNN?
CNN updates its coverage continuously, so any list here would go stale within hours. Its Ukraine page has recently carried stories on Russian pressure on Ukraine’s “fortress belt,” a Russian drone strike near the Polish border, Poland reinforcing its border, and the Kremlin seizing Nestlé’s assets in Russia (CNN Ukraine). For minute-by-minute updates, use live pages from CNN, BBC, Reuters, AP or the Kyiv Post. We update this article as events develop.
Who Is Winning the War in Ukraine?
Neither side has a decisive advantage. Russia holds roughly 20 percent of Ukraine, according to the Council on Foreign Relations, and is pushing slowly toward Ukraine’s “fortress belt” of Sloviansk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka and Kostiantynivka. The Institute for the Study of War assessed in March that Russia is unlikely to take it in 2026 and will pay a high price for any gains. Russian troops outnumber Ukrainians by as much as five to one in some sectors, per Euromaidan Press, yet Ukraine has counterattacked in places and continues to strike Russian oil and energy sites. Ukraine’s earlier battlefield optimism has faded, according to CNN. Estimates of “winning” also depend on how you define it, so treat any confident claim with caution.
Which Countries Support Ukraine?
- European Union: A €90 billion Ukraine Support Loan for 2026-27 was adopted on April 23 (about €60 billion for military needs, €30 billion for budget support). Hungary, Slovakia and the Czech Republic are not participating in financing. The EU has also adopted a 20th sanctions package and proposed a 21st.
- NATO allies: Allies pledged €70 billion in equipment, assistance and training for Ukraine in 2026 at the Ankara Summit, and had committed more than $6 billion for US-made equipment via the PURL mechanism as of June (NATO).
- Germany and other Europeans: Berlin, London, Paris, Warsaw and the Nordic and Baltic states are among Kyiv’s most active European backers.
- United States: Washington has reduced its own level of direct support, according to the IISS, though US weapons still reach Ukraine through allied purchases. Trump has not promised Patriot missile production in Ukraine.
Which Countries Support Russia?
- Belarus: Allowed Russia to use its territory to stage forces and launch missiles.
- North Korea: Supplied artillery shells and ballistic missiles and sent roughly 14,000-15,000 troops, per CFR. Zelensky says more than 8,000 are in Russia now and 10,000 more are being prepared.
- Iran: Helped build up Russia’s Shahed drone program.
- China: Describes itself as neutral and says it does not supply lethal weapons. NATO calls it a decisive enabler through dual-use goods and economic support. Beijing denies taking sides.
Other countries, including India, keep trade ties with Russia without endorsing the invasion.
How Many Russian Soldiers Have Been Killed in the War in Ukraine?
Nobody has verified totals, and both governments keep their own losses secret. The most cited independent estimate comes from CSIS, which in July 2026 put Russian casualties (killed, wounded and missing) at about 1.4 million, including up to roughly 450,000 killed. It estimated Ukrainian casualties at 525,000-625,000, and total military casualties at over 2 million (CNN report on the CSIS study). In the first half of 2026, the ratio widened to nearly eight Russian casualties for every Ukrainian, CSIS said. For Ukraine, CSIS’s January 2026 estimate was 100,000-140,000 killed through December 2025. Meduza and Mediazona had identified 219,000 Russian dead by name as of August 2025, which is a verified minimum. The Russia Matters report card compares many of these estimates. Civilians are counted separately.
How Many Ukrainian Troops Are Left?
There is no official count of troops remaining. Zelensky has said Ukraine’s military totals about 880,000 personnel, but manpower is the army’s biggest weakness. Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov estimated in January that about 200,000 soldiers were absent without leave (US Congressional Research Service). Ukraine has restructured into army corps and is leaning heavily on drones, with an Unmanned Systems Forces branch estimated at 20,000 people (IISS). For comparison, Russia’s authorized force is 2.44 million, though not all of those are on the front line.
How Much Damage Has Ukraine Suffered?
- Physical damage: The World Bank, EU, UN and Ukraine’s government estimate direct damage at $195 billion and recovery needs at $588 billion over ten years, almost three times Ukraine’s 2025 GDP. Transport, energy and housing are hit hardest (RDNA5).
- Civilians: The UN has verified at least 16,874 civilians killed, including 820 children, and 51,173 injured through July 2026. July and August were among the deadliest months since 2022, with 437 and 372 killed respectively (UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission).
- Displacement and economy: Millions of Ukrainians remain displaced. Russian attacks on the power grid continue to cause outages.
How Has the War Affected Russia’s Economy and Businesses?
- Budget strain: Russia’s January-April deficit of about $79 billion exceeded its entire 2025 deficit, and the central bank cut its 2026 growth forecast to 0-1 percent (Jamestown).
- Depleted reserves: The Kiel Institute reports liquid wealth-fund assets fell from 6.5 percent of GDP at the start of the war to 1.8 percent in April 2026, while oil and gas revenue dropped 45 percent year on year in Q1 (Kiel Institute).
- Oil windfall: Higher oil prices from the Iran war added revenue between April and August, but analysts say the effect is temporary.
- Fuel shortages: Ukrainian strikes on refineries have caused fuel rationing and a diesel export ban, per NBC. Trump has urged Kyiv to stop hitting Russian diesel, citing a global shortage.
- Private business: CNN reports the Kremlin seized Nestlé’s Russian assets amid a wider crackdown on private firms.
Analysts do not expect economic pressure alone to end the war in the near term.
What Do Russians and Ukrainians Think?
Russians: A February 2026 Levada survey found 67 percent favor starting peace talks and 24 percent want to continue fighting, yet more than 70 percent still back the army’s actions. Russian authorities label Levada a “foreign agent,” and surveys under wartime restrictions have limits.
Ukrainians: KIIS polling from around the turn of the year found 53 percent categorically reject territorial concessions and 33 percent are open to some, with 74 percent calling Russia’s peace plan unacceptable and 69 percent expecting talks not to bring lasting peace. These polls are several months old and views may have shifted (Russia Matters summary).
What Are Trump, China and the EU Saying?
- Trump: After meeting Zelensky at the UN he said he is working on a solution and that Putin is willing to meet. Days later he said he hoped Zelensky would “settle” with Putin and, per Bloomberg, again urged him to visit Moscow, which Zelensky refused (CBS News).
- China: Its stated position is respect for sovereignty and the UN Charter, attention to “legitimate security concerns,” and support for a peaceful settlement. After Trump and Xi met in Beijing in May, Wang Yi said both countries want a swift end and will play a constructive role. Zelensky has said Xi has influence over Putin.
- European Union: The EU says Ukraine can count on it, backs accession and financing, and blames Russia for the war. Russia’s Lavrov told the UN that Europe is working to block US-backed peace talks (European Commission).
Are Foreigners Living There Facing War-Related Problems?
Yes, in different ways. We cannot speak to any one person’s situation, so check your own government’s travel advice.
- In Russia: Ukraine’s military intelligence says Russia plans to recruit at least 18,500 foreigners in 2026 and has set regional quotas. FIDH reports at least 27,000 foreign nationals from over 130 countries have been recruited since 2022. Amnesty International says many were deceived or coerced, and that migrants with legal-status problems are targeted (Amnesty). Russia denies coercion. Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian cities and refineries are another risk.
- In Ukraine: Air raids and missile and drone strikes reach many regions, including Kyiv, and civilian casualties have risen through 2026. Ukraine says about 16,000 foreign nationals from over 70 countries serve in its army.
What Does Ukraine Want? What Does Russia Want?
Ukraine wants an end to the war with security guarantees and without giving up land it still holds in Donbas. Zelensky has proposed an energy ceasefire, asked for Patriot production licenses and wants a three-way meeting with Trump and Putin, including at the G20 summit in Miami. It also seeks EU membership.
Russia wants Ukrainian forces to withdraw from the part of Donbas it has not captured. Putin has said Russia will take it “by military or other means.” Moscow also opposes Ukrainian NATO membership. US envoy Jared Kushner said most points of a deal are agreed, but Putin’s demand on Donbas remains unresolved. The Kremlin says Zelensky is welcome to come to Moscow.
How Long Will the War Last?
No one can say reliably. Several signs point to a long war: Russia’s mobilization and record 2027 military budget, Ukraine’s refusal to cede Donbas, and a winter of strikes on energy ahead. Factors that could shorten it include a breakthrough on Donbas, a three-way leaders’ meeting, or an energy truce. Analysts cited by the Atlantic Council do not expect Russia to stop for economic reasons. Treat predictions, including from officials, as uncertain.
Editorial note: This is a developing story and figures change often. Casualty and troop numbers come from estimates that neither government confirms, and claims by warring parties are attributed rather than verified. We link the original sources throughout and update this page as reporting changes. This article does not endorse any party to the conflict. Related: Yemen war update and the world news hub.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the latest news on Ukraine?
Russia attacked overnight with 188 drones and various missiles, Putin raised the size of Russia’s armed forces to 2,441,630, and Trump and Zelensky met at the UN on September 22 without a breakthrough. How many Russian soldiers have been killed in the war in Ukraine?
No verified figure exists. CSIS estimated in July 2026 about 1.4 million Russian casualties, including roughly 450,000 killed. How many Ukrainian troops are left?
There is no official count. Zelensky has put the military at about 880,000 personnel, but Ukraine has a serious manpower shortage. What are the latest breaking news on Ukraine, according to CNN?
CNN has recently covered pressure on Ukraine’s fortress belt, drone incidents near Poland and the Kremlin seizing Nestlé’s assets. See CNN for live updates. Who is winning the war in Ukraine, or who is winning right now?
Neither side. Russia makes slow, costly gains, while Ukraine holds most defensive lines. ISW assessed Russia is unlikely to take the fortress belt in 2026. Is there breaking news in Ukraine today, or every five minutes?
Yes, but this page is not a live ticker. Reports on October 1-2 describe a large drone and missile attack and power outages in three regions. Use live feeds from major outlets for minute-by-minute updates. What is the Ukraine military news today?
Russia used a drone built to cut power pylons for the first time, and Ukraine continues strikes on Russian oil and fuel facilities. Is there any last minute news from Ukraine?
Merz warned on October 1 that European security is at stake in Ukraine, and Russia said European arms factories supplying Ukraine are potential targets.
Sources
- UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine
- World Bank, EU, UN: RDNA5
- CNN on the CSIS casualty study
- Kiel Institute: Russia’s war economy
- NATO: support for Ukraine
- Council on Foreign Relations
- CBS News/AFP